12 Ways to Predict the Weather by Watching Nature in Your Backyard
From mythical traditions to science-backed indicators, discover how animals, plants, and other elements in nature might help predict the weather.
Did you know your own backyard can serve as a home weather station? Yes, you can try to predict the temperature, precipitation, and other local weather conditions just by observing aspects of nature in your backyard and beyond.
While national obsessions like Groundhog Day and folklore about cows lying down in pastures before a rainstorm might not be reliable indicators, some natural predictors are actually backed by science. For the most accurate amateur predictions, learn which nature-based weather indicators are best to believe.
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Birds
Bird activity seems to be one of the best animal-related predictors of weather, with science to back it up. They typically fly low during stormy weather and higher in pleasant weather. Birds may even get quiet and stop flying altogether when a storm is approaching. Ornithology experts believe this is because the birds can sense a change in barometric air pressure. When it drops, they know to evacuate an area because bad weather is on the way. Scientists also recently discovered that birds can hear infrasound (a low-frequency noise) coming from an approaching storm days before it begins. Both of these special senses also help birds know when it’s time to migrate.
Woolly Bear Caterpillar
Legend has it that woolly bear caterpillars—also called woolly worms— forecast the severity of winter by the colors on their body. These insects that transform into tiger moths have 13 segments that are colored either rusty brown or black. The legend claims that the more brown they have, the milder the winter will be. However, this idea has been debunked by scientists. The colors are related to the caterpillar’s age, species, and diet, which is determined by the previous season, not the future winter. You can find these creatures during under leaves and logs or walking along a road.
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Frogs
Science backs up the fact that when frogs croak loudly, it’s about to rain. Experts explain that frogs get louder and more energetic with their noise when they are about to mate. Because they lay their eggs in bodies of freshwater, they are more likely to reproduce after a rainstorm when the ground is more saturated.
Crickets
Crickets can be loud and annoying, especially when we’re trying to fall asleep at night, but their chirps can help report the temperature. The “cricket thermometer” was developed in the 1800s by scientist Amos Dolbear, who discovered the connection between the ambient temperature and the rate at which crickets chirp. This is possible because crickets are cold-blooded and take on the temperature of their surroundings. Crickets chirp by rubbing their wings together. When it is warmer, it is easier for them to move, so the chirps increase. When it is cooler, they produce less frequent sounds. Dolbear’s Law explains how to figure out the temperature: First, count the number of chirps in 14 seconds, and then add 40 to get the temperature in Fahrenheit. Take a few measurements to get an average.
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Ladybugs
As one of the most beautiful and beloved insects, ladybugs can apparently also help predict colder temperatures. The old adage goes, “When they swarm, expect a day that’s warm.” But if you see them searching for shelter, then cold weather is approaching. As cold-blooded creatures, ladybugs hibernate in groups to stay warm, so you may also see them clumping together in sunny areas, under logs, or in sheds and garages.
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Bees
The behavior of bees can also be an indicator of weather to come. If you notice these pollinators disappearing from flower beds, then you can expect a long, cold winter on the horizon. This is also the case if bees build their nests in protected areas like inside a shed or barn. They react to cold weather by clustering together for warmth. Experts believe that bees originated in a warm climate in Africa and had to adapt when they migrated around the world to varying climates.
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Squirrels
“When squirrels early start to hoard, winter will pierce us like a sword,
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